Tuesday, May 6, 2008

US & EU Ethanol Ecstasy Accentuates Weaknesses in Food & Energy Policy Planning

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g5BBXipUNID1wgmdeVD7nyK5AKYQD90FJVOO0


US, EU asked to reconsider biofuel goals as food prices rise


By AOIFE WHITE – 19 hours ago


BRUSSELS, Belgium (AP) — The U.S. and European Union should reconsider a shift to biofuels that has helped increase food prices worldwide by turning agricultural land over to energy crops, American economist Jeffrey Sachs said Monday.


Targets to produce more fuels that release less carbon dioxide when burned "do not make sense now in a global food scarcity condition," Sachs, a special adviser to the United Nations, told reporters before he spoke to EU lawmakers at the European Parliament.


[POLICYMAKERS SHOULD HAVE SEEN THIS EVENTUALITY BEFORE AGREEING TO PROMOTE 'BIO'-ETHANOL IN A 'VACUUM'. GOVERNMENTS ARE INCAPABLE OF 'PICKING WINNERS' IN 'HORSE RACES' SUCH AS THESE. THE MOST PRUDENT OPTION WOULD HAVE BEEN, AND CONTINUES TO BE: PROMOTE, THROUGH INCENTIVES, THE RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT & COMMERCIALIZATION OF VARIOUS ENERGY RESOURCES UNTIL A 'COMPLETE ENERGY SHIFT' CAN BE ACCOMPLISHED. THIS MEANS, ALL ENERGY SOURCES REMAIN ON THE TABLE, INCLUDING OIL & CLEAN COAL, UNTIL CLEANER, ALTERNATIVE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES ARE 'READY TO ROLL'.]



"In the United States, as much as one-third of the maize crop this year will go to the gas tank and this is a huge blow to the world food supply, so these programs should be cut back significantly," he said.


Top international food scientists recommended last month that the use of food-based biofuels, such as ethanol, be halted, saying that would cut corn prices by 20 percent during a world food crisis.


So far, the U.S. biofuel program has had more impact on food shortages, but Europe's plans to rapidly boost biofuel output in coming years would also start to bite, Sachs said.


"Neither of them makes much sense actually in terms of the environmental effect, the energy balance, or the food impact, so I would advocate a reconsideration of both under the new market conditions," he said.


European Commission spokesman Michael Mann insisted that biofuels were not a significant factor in pushing up food prices. More important are recent poor global harvests, growing food demand in Asia and export restrictions in Ukraine and Russia, he said.


[IN OTHER WORDS, THERE ARE UNCONTROLLABLE /VARIABLE EXTERNAL, BUT PREDICTABLE FACTORS THAT, WHEN ADDED TO READILY KNOWN FACTORS, CREATED THE PRESENT DYNAMIC OF FOOD SHORTAGES (DECREASED SUPPLY) AMID INCREASING DEMAND, THUS SPARKING HIGHER FOOD PRICES.]


"In Europe, we use less than 2 percent of our cereals production for biofuels, so their contribution to higher food prices is marginal, if not nonexistent," Mann said.


to affMann said the EU did not expect replacing 10 percent of all transport fuel with biofuels by 2010 ect future food prices because Europe planned to increase the amount of land under cultivation and use crop waste, such as straw, to make some biofuel to meet the target.


But Sachs insisted that biofuels in Europe were hitting the food supply to a "modest extent" because some wheat is turned into ethanol and "land is diverted from grains to rapeseed and other inputs for biodiesel."


The U.S. ethanol industry also rejects claims that biofuels are responsible for food price increases, saying ethanol — made from wheat and sugar cane — and other biofuels account for just 4 percent of the price surge.


The U.S. Department of Agriculture puts the figure closer to 20 percent.


Sachs, the director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University, said it was unfair to blame financial speculators for soaring prices for basic foods such as wheat and rice.


[PROFESSOR SACHS IS OFF-BASED HERE. BIO-CRAZY VENTURE CAPITALISTS HAVE BEEN PARTIALLY RESPONSIBLE FOR PUSHING NEW LAWS IN THE U.S. CONGRESS TO PROMOTE BIO-ETHANOL RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT & PRODUCTION. AND, FINANCIAL SPECULATORS IN CHICAGO, NEW YORK, LONDON, ETC. HAVE CERTAINLY BEEN PARTIALLY RESPONSIBLE FOR BIDDING THE PRICE OF FOODSTUFFS UP INTO THE STRATOSPHERE.]


"The fact inventories are very low, that food supply is more stagnant compared to food demand, gives a reason for speculators to try and buy and hold grains," he said.


Underlying problems — "a tight food supply and vulnerability to climate shocks" — need long-term solutions such as boosting aid to poorer nations to help them increase food production, he said.

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